Why's It So Hard To Predict A Recession?

20m ·

Why's It So Hard To Predict A Recession?

Economists have more information at their fingertips than ever before. And yet, in many ways it’s become more difficult for them to predict if–and when–a recession is coming.

Why is that? US economy reporter Katia Dmitrieva joins this episode to talk about how economists peering into the future are turning to all kinds of tools–some expected (employment data), and others….not so expected (men’s underwear?).

And Simon Kennedy, who leads Bloomberg’s economic coverage, gives his answer to the question on everyone’s mind these days: will there be a recession this year, or not?

Read more here: https://bloom.bg/400cafw

Listen to The Big Take podcast every weekday and subscribe to our daily newsletter: https://bloom.bg/3F3EJAK 

Have questions or comments for Wes and the team? Reach us at bigtake@bloomberg.net.

This podcast is produced by the Big Take Podcast team: Supervising Producer: Vicki Vergolina, Senior Producer: Kathryn Fink, Producers: Mo Barrow, Rebecca Chaisson, Michael Falero and Federica Romaniello, Associate Producers: Sam Gebauer and Zaynab Siddiqui. Sound Design/Engineers: Raphael Amsili and Gilda Garcia.

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