1 Rangers v Lightning bet and 1 Golden Knights v Kings play for Tuesday (10.11)

Good morning guys, how are you welcome in to the episode of Just The Picks here on

on Tuesday.

Matt Perl, with you at Sports.com at each and every morning, we are here on YouTube on the

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books.

Last night, man, yeah. So 59 out. We almost teased it perfectly, minus 158. It was minus

159. So we lose unfortunately, but I just can't figure out the referee in the NFL right

now. I mean, one, the rough in the past recall was horrific on Derek car and Chris Jones.

But what I hate more about referees getting calls wrong, I hate make up calls even worse.

Like get the first call right. Don't have it. They have to have a make up call. Do the

first call right. Then you don't have to make up a call with the stupidest ridiculous, holding

defensive holding on a field goal. I mean, are you kidding me? I mean, really, that's

what we're doing defensive holding on a fourth down kick. The guy missed the kick in a

thrown a flag. Five yard Pounty in a first down this score. Touchdown. Are you serious? That

killed the bet. If that's a field goal, we're probably in. We're probably caching today

because the under comes in and the cheese probably win minus one minus two, somewhere in

that range three, four, five, somewhere in there. We're caching that blew the bet. Literally

that call changed three points, missed three points, by the way, to seven points. That

was a seven point swing on our bet. Now, the raiders decided to do some really stupid

stuff. You throw the ball on third in one stupid. You throw the ball on fourth in one ridiculous.

Now that she's going to run blitz, they're going to try everything to stop the run

there. I get why they threw the ball with it. Why was Hunter Renfroh anywhere near Devante

Adams? And then why is Devante Adams, shoving a camera guy like my gosh. I mean, I

can tell you this, the raiders have a much easier schedule after their buy, but you know,

that eight and a half nine wins. That's, you know, that's pretty much toast. I mean, that

they're going to maybe win seven games if they're lucky, given where they are, one

in four. Now, granted, they may make a run here, then I go into the playoffs, but they

might make a decent run. I do think they'll still finish above the Broncos in the

division. I still think that the Broncos are bad. Four team points for losses. That's

what the raiders have. And, you know, I spent a while talking to a bunch of different

people about the raiders in the offseason. One person that I respect his opinion at

time was like, a lot of people he was talking to said the raiders won so many close games

last year that it was going to even out. And he thought, no, new coaching staff to Montenegro

Adams will stop that from happening. Well, no, those people were right. Raiders are constantly

losing tight football games right now. They're one in four and 14 points is the total margin

that is unbelievable, really, really bad. So just a crummy night, one in two night, we

get the Jacob's prop right, no pick for car, doesn't throw it in reception. I didn't realize

how public that was going to be. That was kind of annoying. Like, everybody saw that 99%

of the bets were on the over at one book or on the yes for Derek Carter throw a pick.

I mean, just a whole thing was frustrating. So we take our lumps, we move on to a Tuesday.

Now, baseball, come off it, right? You know, I'm not betting baseball today. Okay, not

going to bet baseball. I'm just going to watch it as a fan. I know better than to put

money behind it because I'm dead wrong. Sorry to spoil a lot of people who are going

to tune in, hopefully they can fade my baseball picks. I'm just not interested in losing

money because it's opening night of the NHL. And I like betting hockey. I like betting

hockey a lot. And so given the fact that we don't have a lot of data and given the fact

that we don't know really how these games are going to go, these will be half unit bets

to start for the first week or so before we really get into hockey. Same thing will happen

with the NBA. It's just a way of kind of, you know, letting ourselves get into the season

before we're comfortable because we're going to use last year's data, which really

means nothing for this season. But it's just a kind of an indication as to what might

happen in these games. And we don't really know where the teams are going to be, talent

wise, jelly wise. I mean, hangovers from losses and cups and whatnot. So I'm more cautious

to start the NBA year and to start the NHL year. But it's, I mean, I will be watching

hockey tonight. I watch baseball. But I'll be watching hockey tonight. So I don't know what

to do with baseball. I'm not going to get on to it. I'm going to just watch it and enjoy

it. And I had a ball watching the Mariners come back on the blue jays and I couldn't imagine

having money on the blue jays either on the series or in that game, too, with a nine

one lead being blown. So I'm not going to get into it as of right now. Before I give

it the bets, OmahaStakes.com, that second annual sale. You guys are doing a great job.

I'm seeing a bunch of people send me these receipts for what you've purchased over the

last couple of days. Like four people have sent me receipts. This is very cool. So if you

do go to almostakest.com for the semiannual half off sale and use the code BVB at checkout,

it seems like everyone's doing what I talked about. It's $300 worth of food. Cut it in half.

It's down to 150 and then take the BVB code and now it's down to 120. It's pretty much

everyone's receipt. It's pretty much in the same ballpark. I think it's the best way of doing

it. OmahaStakes.com right now. BVB at checkout for $30 off your order. Okay. So two

stock games. I'm going with two totals. Tampa Bay and New York. Rangers and the Lightning. Last year,

these were the two top teams to the under on the season. 56 unders for the Rangers. 50

unders for Tampa Bay. 42 and 56 to the over or the Rangers by far. This Turkey was unbelievable

last year. He most likely will be unbelievable again. Okay. Totals five and a half minus

one ten on both sides. Most games later in the year. When it's that's a left ski versus

just Turkey. We're going to see fives. Okay. Even fandals at five and a half, which is odd. Normally

they're at five. They don't like half goals. Normally it's five or six for fandle. Maybe when you

guys get up, it'll be at five. But they popped up five and a half. This is Rangers in the Lightning.

I'm not going to go into really in depth conversations here about this. Last year, these two teams

were under machines. This is a two one hockey game. Maybe it's a three two hockey game. Five and a half

under. Rangers, Lightning, half a unit. Okay. So it's 0.6 is what we're going to put down.

Our 0.55 actually 0.55 units to go down at minus one ten. Okay. We're going to drop that down.

Just they get us started in hockey. Two bets on a Tuesday. What's the second bet?

Kings and the Vegas goal the Knights. The Vegas goal the Knights last year. One of the best teams

to the over, which is not that big of a shocker. I mean, Vegas is a team that scores a bunch.

No, Vegas is a team 45, 33 and four last year to the over. Now, more overs and

unders, they weren't like Colorado who are 54 and 42 and five best team in hockey to the over.

But definitely a team that scores and goes over more often 45, 33 and four for the Vegas

goal the Knights and they're taking on the LA Kings and the LA Kings were also a team that had

kind of a middle of the packed team when it comes to overs. I mean, they actually, well, they were

37, 48 and four last year. But they're total is five and a half. And I think we just see Vegas get off

to a hot start, Mark Stone, Jack Eichel. And I'm not sold on Vegas's goal to the situation.

I'm not sold on Vegas's overall talent defensemen wise. I think Vegas is going to give up goals.

I mean, I think that this year, they're going to go more wide open. I mean, obviously,

you've got Bruce Cassie, the new head coach. It's game one year. I don't think he's going to

play a similar style to what he played in Boston with the Boston Bruins. But I mean, I'm really

excited in the preseason. I mean, Vegas scored and they gave up goals too. I mean, it lost to the

sharks. One game seven to three. They beat the avalanche one night seven to one, coyotes four, three,

beat the king six to four when they played each other. So, I mean, it's a preseason game. But

it was at LA. This game is at LA. And I mean, I, I just think you look at the roster for the

Vegas goal tonight. And you look at what's going to happen in that. I mean, there's a lot of

question marks for right now. Logan Thompson at Dean Hill. I mean, we don't really know to make

these guys. I mean, we'll see. I like Logan Thompson, but I mean, talking to them, he's a standalone

head here. I think Vegas does win the game. And I think the Rangers win the game. But I'm not going

to bet on a side. It's too early. It's the first game. It's opening night. Over five and a half goals,

Vegas and the LA Kings at minus 115 over five and a half for LA and Vegas under five and a half

for Tampa and the Rangers minus 110. Those minus we're going to do my basically 0.6 and 0.55. So,

a little more than the unit in play here tonight on a Tuesday for hockey. Baseball. I mean,

I don't even know. I don't really have leans to be quite honest on the baseball games. I'm just

going to watch them and enjoy them and flip back and forth and have some fun. We got baseball

all day long. Whenever you've got baseball all day long, I mean, how can you not just be in love with

it? First game of the day happens early 10 o clock in the morning. That's the same start time

Pacific time as BVP, Philly and Atlanta. Seattle and Houston Cleveland, New York, San Diego and

Los Angeles. I lean Seattle in game one against Verlander. I love Logan Gilbert, but Verlander.

Houston has dominated the Mariners dominated them this year. I think six and one over the last seven

games. Philly against Atlanta. I leaned Atlanta here with Max Freed. Garrett Cole going in the

start Cleveland against Calquantrol. Cleveland's been great with Calquantrol on the mound.

I would lean towards the dog. A little bit with Cleveland and San Diego at L.A. Clevator against

Julio Ores. Under in that game, obviously, if you want to make a play, I think there's a low scoring

game machine that between those two teams. But again, I'm making the bets on this so far here

on a Tuesday. Officially, under first game, Rangers Lightning, over second game, golden nights

and the L.A. Kings to win a half a unit on both those bets for us just a little over a unit

in play here on a Tuesday. My name is Matt Perrell to follow me on Twitter at Sports Talk

Matt each and every morning. It is just the picks. I was being brought to you by Dr. African Sports

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